2100NEWS WEEKLY CRYPTO REPORT Jul-18

The NWST1100 index has risen by 5.88% from the previous week; FLOKI (FLOKI), a large-cap Ethereum-based token, has made the most significant leap in rank within the NWSL100 crypto index biweekly.

*Below, we present a standardized weekly report and next week’s outlook, prepared based on the Theory Swingtum of intelligent finance. We gauge the crypto market’s breadth and direction by showing charts 2100NEWS Digital Assets Total Index (NWST1100), which measures 1100 (by market capitalization) significant crypto assets’ performance. The information-laden chart is complex to read initially, but the chart shows essential price information, crucial decisive price levels, momentum, trading volumes, and crypto market breadth. Monitoring Market Sentiment and Breadth is necessary to detect early signs of trend reversals or continued strength.

Our detailed analysis of the NWST1100 chart and related market indicators reveals essential insights into the current market conditions:

The NWST1100 index extended its advance last week, climbing by 5.88%, continuing its breakout from the prior range. Notably, altcoins and Ethereum decisively outperformed Bitcoin, confirming a structural rotation that has been building in response to regulatory clarity. In recent months, regulatory focus on Bitcoin and, later, Ether ETFs created a perception of these assets as “safer,” which suppressed capital flows into the broader altcoin and Ethereum ecosystem. Last week, the U.S. House of Representatives declared “Crypto Week”, advancing the GENIUS Act, CLARITY Act, and Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act, which aim to regulate stablecoins, clarify digital asset oversight, and prohibit a digital dollar. Against the backdrop of Bitcoin’s record highs and intense industry lobbying, these bills sparked debate over innovation, consumer protection, and potential conflicts of interest, shaping the U.S.’s position in global crypto markets. This emerging regulatory clarity reduced perceived risks across the entire digital asset landscape. As a result, capital flowed rapidly into previously under-owned and undervalued segments, fueling a powerful catch-up rally led by Ethereum and altcoins.

1. Market sentiment: The Price Oscillator (PPO) lines continued to trend upward but approached levels historically associated with short-term peaks (e.g., May & December), while the PPO histogram has flattened, signaling potential momentum moderation. Meanwhile, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) rose to 79.83, firmly in overbought territory, signaling robust trend continuation but also suggesting caution.
2. We are now focusing on the breadth indicators at the bottom of the NWST1100 chart. The Advance-Decline Line (ADVL), which measures the number of advancing versus declining assets, surged sharply, reflecting a decisive shift in market internals, with advancing assets far outnumbering decliners. The McClellan Summation Index, a long-term version of the McClellan Oscillator that measures market breadth, accelerated higher, confirming broad participation in the rally.

📉 Summary

The cryptocurrency market demonstrated its strongest and most balanced rally in months, correcting prior misallocations and signaling growing confidence in the wake of regulatory progress. However, current overbought conditions call for vigilance in the near term.

According to the chart on the right, all A50R indicators across all major segments (NWST1100, NWSET100, NWSL100, NWSCo100) have risen above 80%, indicating that 80% or more of assets trade above their 50-day EMA, which confirms market-wide structural bullishness. This breadth indicator measures the percentage of digital assets trading above a 50-day moving average.

*This breadth indicator is essential in measuring the internal strength or weakness of the underlying index. Looking at the chart on the right side, we can see the A50R lines for four different categories of digital assets:

1. The top box shows the A50R lines for 100 Large-cap members of NWSL100.
2. The middle box displays the A50R lines for 1100 members of NWST1100, which is the Total Index measuring the performance of significant crypto assets based on market capitalization.
3. The third box shows the A50R lines for 100 Ethereum Tokens members of NWSET100.
4. The bottom box represents the A50R lines for 100 Coins members of NWSCo100.

Outlook for the Week Ahead

This report aims to provide insights into the cryptocurrency market’s near-term outlook. While complete predictability remains challenging, market waves exhibit some degree of predictability, with discernible patterns in market behavior. By examining momentum indicators, several signals emerge that offer insights into the potential direction of the market in the short term.

1. The RSI (Relative Strength Index), at an overbought reading of 79, indicates the recent rally is extended and may drift lower. This suggests a higher probability of a short-term pullback or consolidation as the market digests its recent gains.
2. The PPO lines signal that upward momentum is still in effect, though its rate of ascent may begin to slow. A definitive trend reversal is not imminent and would likely require several sessions to materialize. The PPO histogram has not yet started to decline; however, if it begins falling toward the zero line, its positive value would still suggest that bullish momentum, although potentially weakening, remains present.
3. The Breadth indicators at the bottom of the first chart (NWST1100), which reflect the participation of assets in the market movement, also suggest that further broad-based breadth expansion is unlikely in the immediate term. Instead, a potential deterioration in the ADVL or a flattening of the McClellan Summation Index may hint at an emerging stabilization phase rather than an imminent trend reversal.

📌 Target and Scenario Considerations:

📍 Key Levels to Watch:

• Support: 8,000 (near Pivot R2)

• Resistance: 8,600 (Point & Figure chart target),  8,800 (previous highs from December)

Investors and traders often rely on historical performance data to make informed decisions about their cryptocurrency holdings. After analyzing the data in the table, it is evident that the crypto market experienced a significant rise; the overall index rose by 5.88% over the last week. The accompanying chart highlights the performance of key cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and Ether, alongside the 2100NEWS Indices, which track Ethereum-based tokens (NWSET100), large caps (NWSL100), and coins (NWSCo100). Among these, Ether stood out, significantly outperforming other segments with a remarkable 49.79% gain over the past thirty days.

While the broader market has dropped, different segments and individual cryptocurrencies exhibit different performance dynamics.

Performance Trends by Market Segment:

✔ Ether, NWSL100 (Large Caps), and NWSCo100 (Coins)  led the market with substantial gains,  

✔ NWSET100 (Ethereum-based tokens) improved, showing notable strength.

✔  NWSBE, Bitcoin, and NWS30 lagged, underperforming relative to the broader rally.

Investors and traders might use this information to adjust their portfolios, possibly shifting focus toward assets with stronger relative momentum while being cautious about those in the Weakening quadrant.

*RRG® charts show the relative strength and momentum of groups of digital assets. Those with strong relative strength and momentum appear in the green Leading quadrant. As relative momentum fades, they typically move into the yellow Weakening quadrant. If relative strength then fades, they move into the red Lagging quadrant. Finally, when momentum picks up again, they shift into the blue Improving quadrant.

Crypto (Digital Assets) compared with global equity

This report offers a comprehensive analysis comparing the performance of digital assets, as represented by the NWST1100 index, to shares on global capital markets, as measured by the Dow Jones Global W1Dow index. We draw insights into historical achievements and potential future trends by examining their performances over various time frames.

Let’s break down the key observations and implications:

• Historical Performance Comparison:
  • 44 Months Ago: Digital assets vastly outperformed global equities in global capital markets, reaching a record high in the comparative quotient between the NWST1100 and W1Dow index.
  • From twelve months ago to the Present, digital assets have outperformed equities by 32.5%.
• Mean Reversion Opportunity:
  • The average quotient price, represented by a blue dashed curve, has been 10.36 over the past 143 working days, while the current spot price is 11.80. This is higher than the long-term mean of 8.29, which has increased since October.
  • The mean reversion theory suggests that asset prices, over time, tend to revert to their historical average returns. The current average quotient price above the long-run mean could imply that digital assets are currently highly valued compared to historical trends.
• Returns Comparison (12-month Accumulation Method) & Strategic Investment Timing:
  • The chart also presents the returns achieved by the simplified index-based accumulation approach—buying one index point per day over 12 months—to simulate a mechanical exposure build-up. While this method is not equivalent to classical dollar-cost averaging (which involves investing a fixed amount of capital daily), it offers a consistent benchmark to compare historical costs and returns. The NWST1100 Crypto Index has risen by 51.11% from twelve months ago. With daily index investments, an investor’s stock price would have resulted in a gain of 29.1% on the current index price, despite unprofitable purchases due to high entry prices during a prolonged market uptrend when prices remained above the 143-day moving average for an extended period.
  • The DJW, representing global capital market shares, grew by 13.39% over the past twelve months. However, a daily purchase strategy would have resulted in a 9.5% gain.
• Conclusion:
  

  The recent rally highlights the importance of tracking market swings. Historically, the best opportunities have emerged when sentiment was weakest and prices were below the 143-day EMA. Conversely, when the market rallies strongly and extends far above the 143-day EMA, as it is now, it is often prudent to start building cash reserves to take advantage of future pullbacks.

*The box in the middle of the chart shows the original NWST1100 price; at the bottom is W1Dow. 

Indices Revision 7-18-2025

Based on the latest biweekly revision, no changes in constituents of the NWSL100 index. Several new mid-cap assets, including Pump.fun, CoW Protocol, VVS Finance, etc., have been added to the NWSM200 index. Each index’s presentation provides more information about the additions and deletions for other indices in the family.

Winning member

Congratulations to FLOKI (FLOKI) on achieving a significant milestone: being recognized as the winning member of the NWSL100 crypto index, which represents the most crucial leap in rank within the index.

*We elect the member of the NWSL100 crypto index with the most significant jump in our ranking. We will examine how the market rates the project’s progress in case of price changes. It seems important to us whether the project is out of the ordinary tide of crypto project prices. Peer comparison should be efficient and effective, considering an investor’s point of view. 

FLOKI (FLOKI)  https://floki.com/

FLOKI, a Large-Cap Ethereum-based Token, is ranked 77th in the 2100NEWS ranking. It is an Index member: NWST1100, NWSL100, NWSTo100, NWSET100

2100NEWS DA Orderbook Quality Evaluation Grade:  Poor, 12.7 (Average for Large-caps: 17.4)

Over the last week, the average market cap was $1,202.0 million, and the average daily volume was $329.6 million.

Floki is the people’s cryptocurrency and the utility token of the Floki Ecosystem. It is a cryptocurrency birthed by fans and members of the Shiba Inu (SHIB) community and is inspired by (and named after) Elon Musk’s Shiba Inu. Floki Inu wants to differentiate itself from other meme coins by combining memes with utility. The team’s long-term vision is to create an autonomous and decentralized ecosystem, including strategic partnerships, building utility on the token, and developing use cases for the Floki Inu brand through NFTs, games, and decentralized finance features.