2100NEWS WEEKLY CRYPTO REPORT Mar-14

The NWST1100 index has fallen by 4.46% from the previous week. Story (IP), a large-cap Coin, has biweekly made the most significant leap in rank within the NWSL100 crypto index.

*Below, we present a standardized weekly report and next week’s outlook, prepared based on the Theory Swingtum of intelligent finance. We gauge the crypto market’s breadth and direction by showing charts 2100NEWS Digital Assets Total Index (NWST1100), which measures 1100 (by market capitalization) significant crypto assets’ performance. The information-laden chart is complex to read initially, but the chart shows essential price information, crucial decisive price levels, momentum, trading volumes, and crypto market breadth. Monitoring Market Sentiment and Breadth is necessary to detect early signs of trend reversals or continued strength.

Our detailed analysis of the NWST1100 chart and related market indicators reveals essential insights into the current market conditions:

Over the last week, The NWST1100 has gradually increased, reaching support level S1, which acted as resistance. This resistance slowed further growth, signaling market indecision as traders assess the next move.

1. Market sentiment: The Price Oscillator (PPO) lines and the histogram shifted upward, strengthening bullish momentum. The histogram is nearing the zero line, reinforcing the potential for an upward shift. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) has risen, reflecting decreasing selling pressure.
2. We are now focusing on the breadth indicators at the bottom of the NWST1100 chart. The Advance-Decline Line (ADVL), which measures the number of advancing versus declining assets, has risen. Similarly, the slightly increasing McClellan Summation Index, a long-term version of the McClellan Oscillator that measures market breadth, hints at improving overall market health.

These indicators collectively reveal an indecision in the cryptocurrency market. While momentum and breadth indicators show potential for recovery, overall weakness persists. A breakout above resistance could confirm a stronger bullish trend, but caution remains essential in this volatile environment.

According to the chart on the right, all A50R lines were deep oversold, with over 88% of cryptocurrencies below their 50-day moving averages, underscoring the market’s bearish conditions. This breadth indicator measures the percentage of digital assets trading above a 50-day moving average. 

*This breadth indicator is essential in measuring the internal strength or weakness of the underlying index. Looking at the chart on the right side, we can see the A50R lines for four different categories of digital assets:

1. The top box shows the A50R lines for 100 Large-cap members of NWSL100.
2. The middle box displays the A50R lines for 1100 members of NWST1100, which is the Total Index measuring the performance of significant crypto assets based on market capitalization.
3. The third box shows the A50R lines for 100 Ethereum Tokens members of NWSET100.
4. The bottom box represents the A50R lines for 100 Coins members of NWSCo100., tako

Outlook for this week

This report aims to provide insights into the cryptocurrency market’s near-term outlook. While complete predictability remains challenging, the market waves show some degree of predictability with discernible patterns in market behavior. By examining momentum indicators, several signals emerge that offer insights into the potential direction of the market in the short term.

1. The RSI (Relative Strength Index), with a current reading of 42, signals that the market exited oversold territory but remains indecisive.
2. The PPO lines measure the market’s momentum, which may continue rising. Still, the PPO histogram may hesitate near the zero line in the second half of the week, hinting at a possible slowdown in bullish momentum.
3. The Breadth indicators at the bottom of the first chart (NWST1100), which reflect the participation of assets in the market movement, may suggest that the slight increase in participation may continue, with fewer assets declining versus advancing.
4. Oversold conditions on key indicators like the A50R lines suggest the market may soon approach a potential recovery zone.

In conclusion, the market is poised for a relief phase driven by cautious sentiment and gradual bullish pressure. A recovery is likely in the near term as we approach the end of Q1, which is historically a notable period for market shifts. The presence of oversold conditions and approaching overhead resistance (24-day EMA) suggests that any recovery may be limited in amplitude and should be closely monitored.

Key Takeaways:
✔ Short-term bullish pressure is building, but momentum may slow midweek.
✔ Market breadth is improving, though fragile.
✔ Oversold indicators suggest a potential recovery zone ahead.
✔ Cautious sentiment prevails, making resistance levels critical to watch.

Investors and traders often rely on historical performance data to make informed decisions about their cryptocurrency holdings. After analyzing the data in the table, the overall index has fallen by 4.46% over the last week. The chart above highlights the performance of key cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin and Ether, alongside the 2100NEWS Indices, which track the performance of Ethereum-based tokens (NWSET100), large caps (NWSL100), and Coins (NWSCo100).
Bitcoin has outperformed other segments despite declining 13.36% in the previous thirty days.

While the broader market has experienced a downtrend, different segments and individual cryptocurrencies exhibit different performance dynamics.

Performance Trends by Market Segment:

✔ Bitcoin and NWS30 led the market, showing relative strength.
✔ NWSL100 (Large Caps) and NWSCo100 (Coins) improved, signaling a potential shift in momentum.
✔ NWSBE weakened, indicating declining strength.
✔ NWSET100 (Ethereum-based tokens) and Ether lagged, underperforming the broader market.

Investors and traders might use this information to adjust their portfolios, possibly shifting focus toward assets with stronger relative momentum while being cautious about those in the Weakening quadrant.

*RRG® charts show the relative strength and momentum of groups of digital assets. Those with strong relative strength and momentum appear in the green Leading quadrant. As relative momentum fades, they typically move into the yellow Weakening quadrant. If relative strength then fades, they move into the red Lagging quadrant. Finally, when momentum picks up again, they shift into the blue Improving quadrant.

Crypto (Digital Assets) compared with global equity

This report offers a comprehensive analysis comparing the performance of digital assets, as signified by the NWST1100 index, to shares on global capital markets, embodied by the Dow Jones Global W1Dow index. We draw insights into historical achievements and potential future trends by examining their performances over various timeframes.

Let’s break down the key observations and implications:

• Historical Performance Comparison:
  • 40 Months Ago: Digital assets showcased a notable outperformance against shares in global capital markets, reaching a record high in the comparative quotient between the NWST1100 and W1Dow index. At this juncture, digital assets displayed a notably superior performance trajectory compared to shares on global capital markets.
  • Twelve months ago to the Present, digital assets have underperformed shares by 19.1%, indicating a shift in returns that favors traditional equities in this timeframe.
• Mean Reversion Opportunity:
  • The average quotient price, represented by a blue dashed curve, has been 10.28 over the past 143 working days, while the current spot price is 9.38. This is higher than the long-term mean of 7.52, which has increased since October.
  • The mean reversion theory suggests that asset prices, over time, tend to revert to their historical average returns. The current average quotient price above the long-run mean could imply that digital assets are currently highly valued compared to historical trends.
• Returns Comparison & Strategic Investment Timing:
  • The chart also presents the returns achieved with the stock generated by buying one point of the respective index daily over the past twelve months.
  • The NWST1100 Crypto Index has declined by 12.70%  relative to last year’s period. With daily index investments, an investor’s stock price (6095 points) would have resulted in a loss of 3.1% on the current index price, reflecting unprofitable purchases due to high entry prices during a prolonged market uptrend when prices remained above the 143-day moving average for an extended period. Buying at market peaks resulted in poor returns, reinforcing the importance of strategic entry points during market pullbacks. Digital asset acquisitions were more profitable when made below the 143-day moving average (MA), as seen last summer and in the past three weeks. The overall opportunity for well-timed entries remains strong in crypto.
  • Contrasting with the crypto index, the DJW, representing global capital market shares, grew by 7.73% over the past twelve months. However, a strategy involving daily purchases would have resulted in a gain of 1.4%.

*The box in the middle of the chart shows the original NWST1100 price; at the bottom is W1Dow. 

Indices Revision 3-14-2025

Based on the latest biweekly revision, Pi and DeXe improved their ranking and were added to the NWSL100 index. On the other hand, ApeCoin and Arweave were removed from the NWSL100 index. Several new mid-cap assets, including Bounce Token, Venom, Stargate Finance, etc., have been added to the NWSM200 index. Each index’s presentation provides more information about the additions and deletions for other indices in the family.

Winning member

Congratulations to Story (IP) on achieving a significant milestone: being recognized as the winning member of the NWSL100 crypto index, which represents the most crucial leap in rank within the index.

*We elect the member of the NWSL100 crypto index with the most significant jump in our ranking. We will examine how the market rates the project’s progress in case of price changes. It seems important to us whether the project is out of the ordinary tide of crypto project prices. Peer comparison should be efficient and effective, considering an investor’s point of view. 

Story (IP)  https://www.story.foundation/

IP Large-cap Coin is 59th in the 2100NEWS ranking. It is an Index member: NWST1100, NWSL100

2100NEWS DA Orderbook Quality Evaluation Grade:  Poor, 13.3 (Average for Large-caps: 17.8)

Story (IP) is a Layer 1 blockchain designed for intellectual property (IP) management and monetization, offering a transparent and efficient framework for creators to register, license, and commercialize their IP assets. The platform integrates decentralized marketplaces, AI-driven IP validation, and tokenized licensing, enabling direct transactions and revenue-sharing for content owners. The IP token serves multiple utilities, including paying transaction fees, staking for network security, participating in governance, and facilitating licensing agreements. Following its mainnet launch on February 13, 2025, the project’s initial token release comprises 1 billion IPs, with 25% unlocked at launch. With growing adoption in the decentralized economy, Story aims to reshape digital ownership and IP monetization, providing creators greater control, transparency, and direct revenue opportunities.