The NWST1100 index has risen by 0.55% over the previous week. It was the bulls’ turn (rising wave), but they did not have enough energy to push the market higher. Bitcoin has been the best-performing during the last thirty days, and Altcoins have lagged.
*Below, we present a standardized weekly report and next week’s outlook, prepared based on the Theory Swingtum of intelligent finance. We gauge the crypto market’s breadth and direction by showing charts 2100NEWS Digital Assets Total Index (NWST1100), which measures 1100 (by market capitalization) significant crypto assets’ performance. The information-laden chart is difficult to read initially, but the graph shows essential price information, crucial decisive price levels, momentum, trading volumes, and crypto market breadth.
The previous report showed last week’s assumption. “A test of the previous lows and rebound ahead of Christmas was likely.” The NWST1100 chart shows the index had tested previous lows (1,863.79 – triple support), rebounded then the price has been stuck in a narrow range under 10-Day EMA. It was the bulls’ turn (rising wave), but they did not have enough energy to push the market higher. Momentum indicators at the top show: RSI and the PPO lines have flattened out; the PPO histogram has risen. The Breadth indicators (at the bottom of the chart) have fallen.
The chart on the right shows The percentage of digital assets trading above a 50-day moving average breadth indicator: All four A50R lines are oversold.
* The percentage of digital assets trading above a specific moving average is a breadth indicator that measures internal strength or weakness in the underlying index. The chart on the right side compares the percentage of DA trading above 50 days EMA for:
- 100 Large-caps members of NWSL100 (top box)
- 1100 members of NWST1100
- 100 Ethereum Tokens members of NWSET100
- 100 Coins members of NWSCo100 (bottom box)
Outlook for this week
The waves are at least partially predictable due to their quasi-periodic nature; the area plots the McClellan Summation Index, a long-term measure of market breadth that has fallen over the last week. If we look ahead, the Momentum indicators give us the following signals in the coming days: RSI is 40; PPO lines and the Breadth indicators at the bottom of the first charts (NWST1100) may start rising, considering the expected Christmas rally and possible bullish PPO line upward centreline crossover. However, resistance at Pivot P is a substantial obstacle. Based on this setup, a rally in the pink range is possible.
Performance of different groups of Digital Assets (Coins and Tokens)
The table shows that the total (NWST1100) index has risen by 0.55% over the last week. In the chart below, we can see Bitcoin, Ether, and the 2100NEWS Indices, which measure the performance of Ethereum-based tokens (NWSET100), Large caps (NWSL100), and Coins (NWSCo100). Bitcoin has been the best-performing during the previous thirty days (+1.57%), and Altcoins have lagged.
Crypto (Digital Assets) compared with global equity
The chart compares the performance of the average Digital Asset (Coins, Tokens) represented by our NWST1100 index with the average global share represented by the Dow Jones Global W1Dow index. Their quotient hit a record high 13 months ago. The Percentage Change Marks on the chart show that NWST1100 lagged behind W1Dow by 67.5% over the last 12 months, while this year, NWST1100 was 64.4% lower. The blue curve is the average index price during the previous twelve months. We can see that the NWST1100 spot price is 47.4% lower than twelve months index’s average price. That means: If we bought one NWST1100 every day over the last twelve months, our investment is recording a 47.4% loss today. Global equity (W1Dow) spot price is 6.8% lower than twelve months index’s average price.
*The box in the middle of the chart shows the original NWST1100 price; at the bottom is W1Dow.