2100NEWS WEEKLY CRYPTO REPORT Mar-27

The NWST1100 index has risen 7.39% over the previous week; crypto markets confirmed the start of an uptrend. Celo (CELO) Coin is a member of the NWSL100 crypto index, making the most significant jump in our ranking over the last two weeks.

*Below, we present a standardized weekly report and next week’s outlook, prepared based on Swingtum Theory of intelligent finance. We gauge the crypto market’s breadth and direction by showing charts 2100NEWS Digital Assets Total Index (NWST1100), which measures 1100 (by market capitalization) significant crypto assets’ performance. The information-laden chart is difficult to read initially, but the chart shows essential price information, crucial decisive price levels, momentum, trading volumes, and crypto market breadth. 

The previous report showed that our assumption for the last week had been: a move near the pivot R1 was likely (+16%). However, hovering near Pivot P was possible but less likely. The NWST1100 chart shows that the index rallied to Pivot R1. The Momentum indicators at the top show: RSI, PPO lines, PPO histogram, and the breadth indicators at the bottom of the chart. These indicators have continued rising.

The chart on the right shows The percentage of digital assets trading above a 50-days moving average breadth indicator: three of four A50R lines are overbought (above 700). In various measures of market breadth on the chart can be seen more clearly that crypto markets confirmed the start of the uptrend.

* The percentage of digital assets trading above a specific moving average is a breadth indicator that measures internal strength or weakness in the underlying index. The chart on the right side compares the percentage of DA trading above 50 days EMA for:

1. 100 Large-caps members of NWSL100 (top box)
2. 1100 members of NWST1100
3. 100 Ethereum Tokens members of NWSET100
4. 100 Coins members of NWSCo100 (bottom box)

Outlook for this week

The waves are at least partially predictable due to their quasi-periodic nature. If we look ahead, the Momentum indicators give us the following signals: RSI is 70; RSI, PPO histogram, PPO lines, the Breadth indicators at the bottom of the chart may continue direction up in the coming days.  My opinion is based on this setup: the rally may continue, and resistance breakup (143 EMA, red curve) is likely; in this scenario, the bullish trend will be confirmed.

Performance of various groups of Digital Assets (Coins and Tokens) 

We can see in the table that the total index (NWST1100) has risen by 7.39% during the previous week. The chart below shows Bitcoin, Ether, and the 2100NEWS DA Indexes, which measure the performance of Ethereum based tokens (NWSET100), Large caps (NWSL100),  Coins (NWSCo100). Coins represented by the NWSCo100 index (+17.19%) have been the best-performing during the previous thirty days.

Crypto (Digital Assets) compared with global equity

The chart compares the performance of the average Digital Asset (Coins, Tokens) represented by our NWST1100  index with the average global share represented by the Dow Jones global W1Dow index. Their quotient hit a record high four months ago; however, it is 35.9% lower now. The Percentage Change Marks on the chart show that NWST1100 beat W1Dow by 4.9% over the last 12 months, while this year, NWST1100 was 11.8% lower. The blue curve is the average index price during the previous twelve months. We can see that the NWST1100 spot price is 9.2% lower than twelve months index’s average price. That means: If we bought one NWST1100 every day over the last twelve months, our investment is recording a 9.2% loss today.  Global equity (W1Dow) spot price is 2.1% lower than twelve months index’s average price.

*The box in the middle of the chart shows the original NWST1100 price; at the bottom is W1Dow. 

Indexes Revision 3-25-2022

The Bi-weekly revision updates the amount of each asset publicly available and any additions and deletions from the indexes. Convex Finance and Swipe improved their ranking; they were added to NWSL100 and deleted from NWSM200. Ecomi and  TonCoin were deleted from NWSL100. New mid-caps are STEPN, MovieBloc, e-Radix … Additions, and deletions for the other indexes from the family are available in each index presentation.

Winner member

We gauged the Celo (CELO) Coin with 2100NEWS Digital Assets 100 Large Cap Index (NWSL100) to make an appropriate peer comparison. On average (violet area chart), the relationship between NWSL100  and CELO has shown that CELO was was less potent over the last two months, and CELO has lagged behind NWSL100  by 2% during the previous two months. First, let’s compare the CELO green area graph with the index (orange area graph) while observing the correlation graph. The correlation graph explains that the correlation is strong (Pearson’s correlation coefficient = 0.86. It was moving in the same direction as the NWSL100. So, it has been a good representative of the NWSL100 index regarding price changes.

*We elect the member of the NWSL100 crypto index with the most significant jump in our ranking. We will look at how the market rates the project’s progress in case of price changes. It seems important to us whether the project is out of the ordinary tide of crypto project prices. Peer comparison should be efficient and effective, considering an investor’s point of view. 

Celo (CELO) Website: https://www.celo.org/

Celo (CELO) Large-cap Coin is 61st in the 2100NEWS ranking. It is an Index member: NWST1100, NWSL100, NWSCo100, NWSDM100

2100NEWS DA Orderbook Quality Evaluation Grade:  Ordinary, 17.7 (Average for Large caps: 16.8)

Over the last week, the average market cap was 1,166.6 million $, and the average daily volume was 119.2 million $.

*The chart below shows the CELO compared to NWSL100 at the top, the box in the middle of the chart shows the original CELO price, and at the bottom of the chart, we see NWSL100 and the correlation between  CELO and NWSL100.