2100NEWS WEEKLY CRYPTO REPORT Aug-15

The NWST1100 index rose by 1.67% last week; LDO, a large-cap Ethereum-based token, has made the most significant leap in rank within the NWSL100 crypto index on a biweekly basis.

*Below, we present a standardized weekly report and next week’s outlook, prepared based on the Theory Swingtum of intelligent finance. We gauge the crypto market’s breadth and direction by showing charts 2100NEWS Digital Assets Total Index (NWST1100), which measures 1100 (by market capitalization) significant crypto assets’ performance. The information-laden chart is complex to read initially, but it effectively displays essential price information, crucial decisive price levels, momentum, trading volumes, and crypto market breadth. Monitoring Market Sentiment and Breadth is necessary to detect early signs of trend reversals or continued strength.

Our detailed analysis of the NWST1100 chart and related market indicators reveals essential insights into the current market conditions:

The NWST1100 index rose by 1.67% last week. After steadily climbing above the 8,800 resistance area, the index reached a fresh short-term high on Wednesday. However, this breakout attempt failed as prices were immediately rejected, marking a notable reversal. The rejection underscores that the rally has matured and entered a volatile consolidation phase. The downturn reflects technical overextension, with fading momentum exposing the market to corrective risk.

1. Market sentiment: The Price Oscillator (PPO) lines flattened, while the histogram, though still positive, started falling. This confirms the loss of bullish momentum and hints at an impending reversal. Meanwhile, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) declined to 58.99, falling back from earlier overbought conditions into the neutral zone, showing that the rally’s intensity has cooled.
2. Attention has shifted to breadth indicators at the bottom of the NWST1100 chart. The Advance-Decline Volume Line (ADVL), adapted by 2100News for the crypto market as ADVPL, tracks the net money volume of advancing versus declining digital assets. It flattened last week, signaling that capital flows have stalled. The McClellan Summation Index, a long-term version of the McClellan Oscillator that measures market breadth, continued to rise but at a slower pace, indicating that underlying market breadth is advancing yet losing momentum.

According to the chart on the right, all A50R indicators across all major segments (NWST1100, NWSET100, NWSL100, NWSCo100) have deteriorated; 57% of NWST1100 constituents are above their 50-day EMA. Large Caps (NWSL100) and Ethereum-based tokens (NWSET100) remain the strongest cohorts, with 69–77% above their 50-day averages. This confirms that the rebound is selective and quality-driven, concentrated in large-cap and Ethereum-linked assets, while broader speculative segments still underperform. This breadth indicator measures the percentage of digital assets trading above a 50-day moving average.

*This breadth indicator is essential in measuring the internal strength or weakness of the underlying index. Looking at the chart on the right side, we can see the A50R lines for four different categories of digital assets:

1. The top box shows the A50R lines for 100 Large-cap members of NWSL100.
2. The middle box displays the A50R lines for 1100 members of NWST1100, which is the Total Index measuring the performance of significant crypto assets based on market capitalization.
3. The third box shows the A50R lines for 100 Ethereum Tokens members of NWSET100.
4. The bottom box represents the A50R lines for 100 Coins members of NWSCo100.

📉 Summary

Taken together, these developments confirm that the uptrend has shifted into a corrective consolidation phase, where momentum is fading and breadth is hesitating. The focus now pivots from chasing upside to managing risk and preserving gains.

Outlook for the Week Ahead

This report aims to provide probable insights into the cryptocurrency market’s near-term outlook. While complete predictability remains challenging, market waves exhibit some degree of predictability, with discernible patterns in market behavior. By examining momentum indicators, several signals emerge that offer insights into the potential direction of the market in the short term.

1. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) stood at 59 last week, and its downward slope suggests further softening is likely. Importantly, the index has exited overbought territory and is settling into a corrective wave. This is not a breakdown signal, but rather a phase of technical digestion anchored around the Pivot P (~7,800) and along the lower halves of the Bollinger and Keltner bands.
2. The PPO histogram, which measures the rate of change (i.e., the first derivative) of PPO lines, may go in negative territory and stay there all week. Based on historical patterns, once it crosses into the negative zone, it tends to remain there for at least five trading sessions. This suggests that the histogram will likely turn negative early in the week and stay subdued, reinforcing the corrective bias. Meanwhile, PPO lines are trending toward the zero axis, a decision zone that often determines whether a correction deepens or exhausts.
3. The Breadth indicators at the bottom of the first chart (NWST1100) also point to a potential downward phase. Participation may weaken meaningfully, and the deterioration appears to be accelerating. If this continues, breadth will likely confirm that selling pressure is active, guiding the market into a controlled test of lower support levels rather than a broad-based advance.

📌 Target and Scenario Considerations:

📍 Key Levels to Watch:

• Support: 7,800 (near Pivot P)

• Resistance: 8,200 (25-day EMA)

Investors and traders often rely on historical performance data to make informed decisions about their cryptocurrency holdings. After analyzing the data in the table, it is evident that the crypto market experienced mixed performance; the overall index rose by 1.67% over the last week. The accompanying chart highlights the performance of key cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and Ether, alongside the 2100NEWS Indices, which track Ethereum-based tokens (NWSET100), large caps (NWSL100), and coins (NWSCo100). Among these, Ether stood out, significantly outperforming other segments with a 24.16% gain over the past thirty days.

While the broader market has risen, different segments and individual cryptocurrencies exhibit different performance dynamics.

Performance Trends by Market Segment:

✔ Ether, NWS30,  and NWSET100 (Ethereum-based tokens)  led the market with substantial gains,  

✔ NWSBE, Bitcoin, and improved, showing notable strength.

✔  NWSL100 (Large Caps)  was weakening.

✔  NWSCo100 (Coins) lagged.

Investors and traders might use this information to adjust their portfolios, possibly shifting focus toward assets with stronger relative momentum while being cautious about those in the Weakening quadrant.

*RRG® charts show the relative strength and momentum of groups of digital assets. Those with strong relative strength and momentum appear in the green Leading quadrant. As relative momentum fades, they typically move into the yellow Weakening quadrant. If relative strength then fades, they move into the red Lagging quadrant. Finally, when momentum picks up again, they shift into the blue Improving quadrant.

Crypto (Digital Assets) compared with global equity

This report offers a comprehensive analysis comparing the performance of digital assets, as represented by the NWST1100 index, to shares on global capital markets, as measured by the Dow Jones Global W1Dow index. We draw insights into historical achievements and potential future trends by examining their performances over various time frames.

Let’s break down the key observations and implications:

• Historical Performance Comparison:
  • 45 Months Ago: Digital assets vastly outperformed global equities in global capital markets, reaching a record high in the comparative quotient between the NWST1100 and W1Dow index.
  • From twelve months ago to the Present, digital assets have outperformed equities by 57.2%.
• Mean Reversion Opportunity:
  • The average quotient price, represented by a blue dashed curve, has been 10.71 over the past 143 working days, while the current spot price is 11.84. This is higher than the long-term mean of 8.49, which has increased since October.
  • The mean reversion theory suggests that asset prices, over time, tend to revert to their historical average returns. The current average quotient price above the long-run mean could imply that digital assets are currently highly valued compared to historical trends.
• Returns Comparison (12-month Accumulation Method) & Strategic Investment Timing:
  • The chart also presents the returns achieved by the simplified index-based accumulation approach—buying one index point per day over 12 months—to simulate a mechanical exposure build-up. While this method is not equivalent to classical dollar-cost averaging (which involves investing a fixed amount of capital daily), it offers a consistent benchmark to compare historical costs and returns. The NWST1100 Crypto Index has risen by 83.32% over the past twelve months. With daily index investments, an investor’s stock price would have resulted in a gain of 26.5% on the current index price, despite unprofitable purchases due to high entry prices during a prolonged market uptrend when prices remained above the 143-day moving average for an extended period.
  • The DJW, representing global capital market shares, grew by 17.12% over the past twelve months. However, a daily purchase strategy would have resulted in a 10.7% gain.
• Conclusion:
  

  The recent rally highlights the importance of tracking market swings. Historically, the best opportunities have emerged when sentiment was weakest and prices were below the 143-day EMA. Conversely, when the market rallies strongly and extends far above the 143-day EMA, as it is now, it is often prudent to start building cash reserves to take advantage of future pullbacks.

*The box in the middle of the chart shows the original NWST1100 price; at the bottom is W1Dow. 

Indices Revision 8-15-2025

Based on the latest biweekly revision, there were no constituent changes in the NWSL100 index. This is relatively unusual, as the Large-Cap segment typically experiences rotation every two weeks.  Meanwhile, several adjustments were made to the mid-cap indices (NWSM200), where new projects were introduced and weaker ones were removed, reflecting the ongoing dynamism of that segment. Several new mid-cap assets, including Vision, ZORA, CyberConnect, and others, have been added to the NWSM200 index. Each index’s presentation provides more details about the additions and deletions across the broader family of 2100NEWS indices.

Winning member

Congratulations to Lido DAO (LDO) on achieving a significant milestone: being recognized as the winning member of the NWSL100 crypto index, marking a crucial leap in rank within the index.

*We elect the member of the NWSL100 crypto index with the most significant jump in our ranking. We will examine how the market rates the project’s progress in case of price changes. It seems important to us whether the project is out of the ordinary tide of crypto project prices. Peer comparison should be efficient and effective, considering an investor’s point of view. 

Lido DAO (LDO)  https://lido.fi/

LDO, a large-cap Ethereum-based token, is ranked 82nd in the 2100NEWS ranking. It is an Index member: NWST1100, NWSL100, NWSTo100, NWSET100

2100NEWS DA Orderbook Quality Evaluation Grade:  Poor, 11.6 (Average for Large-caps: 17.4)

Over the past week, the average market capitalization was $1,233.9 million, and the average daily trading volume was $338.7 million.

Lido DAO is Ethereum’s leading liquid staking protocol, converting staked ETH into tradable stETH to unlock DeFi utility while earning yields. Governed by LDO holders, Lido introduced a Dual Governance model in July 2025, giving stETH holders veto power to delay or freeze proposals—strengthening user protection against governance capture. With $30B+ in staked assets and integrations across Aave and Curve, Lido remains DeFi’s dominant staking layer.